Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.107057 0.123627 0.141914 0.163596 0.188606 0.216558 0.250182
2026-02-01 0.077402 0.098669 0.124534 0.158319 0.201316 0.254265 0.324520
2026-02-08 0.064090 0.087545 0.118074 0.160749 0.218933 0.295621 0.404617
2026-02-15 0.054496 0.078747 0.112107 0.161386 0.232455 0.331460 0.480299
2026-02-22 0.047808 0.072527 0.108194 0.163462 0.247139 0.369431 0.562448
2026-03-01 0.041201 0.065278 0.101531 0.160159 0.252862 0.394278 0.627408
2026-03-08 0.036054 0.059431 0.096026 0.157561 0.258795 0.419389 0.694877
2026-03-15 0.032663 0.055853 0.093488 0.159103 0.271092 0.455311 0.783211
2026-03-22 0.030873 0.054641 0.094538 0.166496 0.293619 0.509977 0.908664
2026-03-29 0.028848 0.052737 0.094134 0.171222 0.311904 0.559146 1.029880
2026-04-05 0.026926 0.050758 0.093321 0.175018 0.328780 0.607359 1.154476
2026-04-12 0.024946 0.048421 0.091566 0.176808 0.342022 0.650162 1.273504
2026-04-19 0.022613 0.045188 0.087883 0.174699 0.347961 0.680589 1.373617
2026-04-26 0.020121 0.041361 0.082662 0.169022 0.346348 0.696474 1.447185
2026-05-03 0.018841 0.039804 0.081672 0.171617 0.361451 0.746594 1.595625
2026-05-10 0.017498 0.037952 0.079870 0.172297 0.372605 0.789769 1.734314
2026-05-17 0.016438 0.036570 0.078870 0.174515 0.387168 0.841387 1.896777
2026-05-24 0.014978 0.034148 0.075406 0.170987 0.388811 0.865563 2.001318
2026-05-31 0.013732 0.032061 0.072440 0.168213 0.391772 0.892810 2.115735
2026-06-07 0.012945 0.030932 0.071471 0.169860 0.404965 0.944213 2.291964
2026-06-14 0.012664 0.030956 0.073111 0.177755 0.433605 1.033892 2.569455
2026-06-21 0.012198 0.030482 0.073542 0.182802 0.455964 1.111162 2.825519
2026-06-28 0.011697 0.029865 0.073569 0.186855 0.476320 1.185724 3.083338